Predicted scoreLean
Georgia
22.3
Alabama
26.6
Alabama win probability: 61%
Margin (Alabama − Georgia): 4.3 (80% range -15 to 24)
Total: 48.9 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Georgia 34 – Alabama 41 (margin error 2.7, total error 26.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.