2024 Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024, 10:00 PM · Pitbull Stadium (neutral site)

Louisiana Tech @ Florida International

Predicted scoreToss-up

Louisiana Tech

23.4

Florida International

24.4

Florida International win probability: 53%

Margin (Florida International − Louisiana Tech): 1.0 (80% range -18 to 21)

Total: 47.8 (80% range 26 to 71)

Actual: Louisiana Tech 10 – Florida International 17 (margin error 6.0, total error 20.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.