2024 Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024, 9:00 PM · Doyt L. Perry Stadium

Old Dominion @ Bowling Green

Predicted scoreLikely

Old Dominion

20.6

Bowling Green

29.7

Bowling Green win probability: 71%

Margin (Bowling Green − Old Dominion): 9.0 (80% range -11 to 29)

Total: 50.3 (80% range 28 to 73)

Actual: Old Dominion 30 – Bowling Green 27 (margin error 12.0, total error 6.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.