2024 Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024, 7:30 PM · Center Parc Stadium

Georgia Southern @ Georgia State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Georgia Southern

27.4

Georgia State

28.7

Georgia State win probability: 54%

Margin (Georgia State − Georgia Southern): 1.3 (80% range -20 to 21)

Total: 56.1 (80% range 33 to 82)

Actual: Georgia Southern 38 – Georgia State 21 (margin error 18.3, total error 2.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.