2024 Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024, 7:30 PM · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium (neutral site)

TCU @ Kansas

Predicted scoreToss-up

TCU

30.4

Kansas

30.4

Kansas win probability: 50%

Margin (Kansas − TCU): -0.0 (80% range -21 to 21)

Total: 60.8 (80% range 36 to 87)

Actual: TCU 38 – Kansas 27 (margin error 11.0, total error 4.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.