2024 Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024, 7:30 PM · Joan C. Edwards Stadium

Western Michigan @ Marshall

Predicted scoreLean

Western Michigan

23.4

Marshall

27.5

Marshall win probability: 60%

Margin (Marshall − Western Michigan): 4.1 (80% range -16 to 24)

Total: 50.9 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Western Michigan 20 – Marshall 27 (margin error 2.9, total error 3.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.