Predicted scoreLikely
Akron
20.7
Ohio
33.3
Ohio win probability: 79%
Margin (Ohio − Akron): 12.7 (80% range -7 to 34)
Total: 54.0 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Akron 10 – Ohio 30 (margin error 7.3, total error 14.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.