2024 Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024, 4:00 PM · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)

Western Kentucky @ Boston College

Predicted scoreLikely

Western Kentucky

22.5

Boston College

34.1

Boston College win probability: 76%

Margin (Boston College − Western Kentucky): 11.6 (80% range -9 to 32)

Total: 56.5 (80% range 33 to 82)

Actual: Western Kentucky 20 – Boston College 21 (margin error 10.6, total error 15.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.