Predicted scoreToss-up
Ohio
23.9
Syracuse
26.7
Syracuse win probability: 57%
Margin (Syracuse − Ohio): 2.9 (80% range -17 to 23)
Total: 50.6 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Ohio 22 – Syracuse 38 (margin error 13.1, total error 9.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.