Predicted scoreLikely
Army
30.1
Temple
16.5
Temple win probability: 18%
Margin (Temple − Army): -13.6 (80% range -33 to 6)
Total: 46.6 (80% range 25 to 69)
Actual: Army 42 – Temple 14 (margin error 14.4, total error 9.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | 14 | 0.95% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.91% |
| 28 | 7 | 0.90% |
| 24 | 7 | 0.86% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.85% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.