2024 Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024, 7:30 PM · Beaver Stadium
Kent State @ Penn State
Predicted scoreConfident
Kent State
6.7
Penn State
49.3
Penn State win probability: 100%
Margin (Penn State − Kent State): 42.6 (80% range 21 to 65)
Total: 56.0 (80% range 34 to 80)
Actual: Kent State 0 – Penn State 56 (margin error 13.4, total error 0.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 45 | 1.54% |
| 0 | 42 | 1.47% |
| 0 | 38 | 1.45% |
| 0 | 49 | 1.33% |
| 0 | 35 | 1.29% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.