2024 Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024, 4:00 PM · Nippert Stadium
Houston @ Cincinnati
Predicted scoreToss-up
Houston
27.9
Cincinnati
28.8
Cincinnati win probability: 52%
Margin (Cincinnati − Houston): 0.9 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 56.7 (80% range 33 to 82)
Actual: Houston 0 – Cincinnati 34 (margin error 33.1, total error 22.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.58% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.