2024 Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024, 4:00 PM · Ohio Stadium
Marshall @ Ohio State
Predicted scoreConfident
Marshall
7.7
Ohio State
45.4
Ohio State win probability: 99%
Margin (Ohio State − Marshall): 37.7 (80% range 17 to 59)
Total: 53.1 (80% range 31 to 76)
Actual: Marshall 14 – Ohio State 49 (margin error 2.7, total error 9.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 45 | 1.27% |
| 0 | 38 | 1.23% |
| 0 | 31 | 1.21% |
| 0 | 35 | 1.09% |
| 0 | 42 | 0.97% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.