2024 Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024, 2:00 AM · Gesa Field
San José State @ Washington State
Predicted scoreLikely
San José State
21.6
Washington State
31.1
Washington State win probability: 73%
Margin (Washington State − San José State): 9.5 (80% range -11 to 30)
Total: 52.7 (80% range 30 to 77)
Actual: San José State 52 – Washington State 54 (margin error 7.5, total error 53.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.72% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.67% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.