2024 Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024, 11:45 PM · Neyland Stadium
Kent State @ Tennessee
Predicted scoreConfident
Kent State
9.8
Tennessee
43.5
Tennessee win probability: 98%
Margin (Tennessee − Kent State): 33.8 (80% range 14 to 56)
Total: 53.3 (80% range 31 to 77)
Actual: Kent State 0 – Tennessee 71 (margin error 37.2, total error 17.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 38 | 1.13% |
| 7 | 45 | 1.04% |
| 7 | 35 | 0.99% |
| 0 | 38 | 0.94% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.92% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.