2024 Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024, 11:30 PM · Jordan-Hare Stadium
New Mexico @ Auburn
Predicted scoreConfident
New Mexico
15.6
Auburn
39.4
Auburn win probability: 93%
Margin (Auburn − New Mexico): 23.8 (80% range 3 to 45)
Total: 55.0 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: New Mexico 19 – Auburn 45 (margin error 2.2, total error 9.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.83% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.76% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.