Predicted scoreLikely
Georgia
33.2
Kentucky
17.2
Kentucky win probability: 15%
Margin (Kentucky − Georgia): -15.9 (80% range -35 to 4)
Total: 50.4 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: Georgia 13 – Kentucky 12 (margin error 14.9, total error 25.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.84% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.81% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 7 | 0.80% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.77% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.