2024 Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024, 4:00 PM · Milan Puskar Stadium

Penn State @ West Virginia

Predicted scoreLean

Penn State

31.5

West Virginia

23.5

West Virginia win probability: 31%

Margin (West Virginia − Penn State): -8.0 (80% range -28 to 13)

Total: 55.1 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Penn State 34 – West Virginia 12 (margin error 14.0, total error 9.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.