2024 Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024, 11:00 PM · CEFCU Stadium
Kennesaw State @ San José State
Predicted scoreLikely
Kennesaw State
20.6
San José State
31.8
San José State win probability: 77%
Margin (San José State − Kennesaw State): 11.2 (80% range -9 to 31)
Total: 52.4 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Kennesaw State 10 – San José State 31 (margin error 9.8, total error 11.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.