2024 Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024, 11:00 PM · Center Parc Stadium

Vanderbilt @ Georgia State

Predicted scoreLikely

Vanderbilt

33.4

Georgia State

24.1

Georgia State win probability: 28%

Margin (Georgia State − Vanderbilt): -9.3 (80% range -31 to 11)

Total: 57.4 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: Vanderbilt 32 – Georgia State 36 (margin error 13.3, total error 10.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.