2024 Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024, 7:30 PM · Reser Stadium
Oregon @ Oregon State
Predicted scoreLean
Oregon
30.1
Oregon State
24.3
Oregon State win probability: 36%
Margin (Oregon State − Oregon): -5.9 (80% range -27 to 14)
Total: 54.4 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Oregon 49 – Oregon State 14 (margin error 29.1, total error 8.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.