2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
South Carolina @ Clemson
Predicted scoreLean
South Carolina
28.6
Clemson
22.9
Clemson win probability: 35%
Margin (Clemson − South Carolina): -5.8 (80% range -25 to 14)
Total: 51.5 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:00 PM | 2.3 | 51.9 | 56% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:08 PM | 2.3 | 52.0 | 56% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:14 PM | 2.3 | 52.0 | 56% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:51:16 AM | 2.3 | 52.0 | 56% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:06:13 PM | 2.3 | 52.0 | 56% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:06:02 PM | 1.8 | 50.9 | 54% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:59:45 PM | -7.7 | 53.8 | 32% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:01:17 PM | -9.7 | 52.5 | 27% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:48 PM | -9.7 | 52.5 | 27% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:02:29 PM | -9.3 | 52.5 | 28% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:40:46 PM | -9.3 | 52.5 | 28% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:34:44 PM | -3.7 | 51.5 | 41% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:54 PM | -5.5 | 54.0 | 36% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:44:44 PM | -6.3 | 51.5 | 34% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:25:13 PM | -5.8 | 51.5 | 35% |