2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · Bridgeforth Stadium
Coastal Carolina @ James Madison
Predicted scoreConfident
Coastal Carolina
15.7
James Madison
36.3
James Madison win probability: 91%
Margin (James Madison − Coastal Carolina): 20.6 (80% range 0 to 41)
Total: 52.0 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.85% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.80% |
| 7 | 28 | 0.71% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:03 PM | 22.0 | 46.7 | 93% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:08 PM | 22.0 | 46.8 | 93% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:34 PM | 22.1 | 46.8 | 93% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:51:48 AM | 22.1 | 46.8 | 93% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:06:09 PM | 22.2 | 46.8 | 93% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:05:48 PM | 21.8 | 46.0 | 92% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:59:17 PM | 18.6 | 47.0 | 89% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:01:27 PM | 17.9 | 47.8 | 88% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:43:05 PM | 18.0 | 47.9 | 88% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:02:11 PM | 18.8 | 48.1 | 89% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:40:29 PM | 18.8 | 48.1 | 89% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:35:04 PM | 23.0 | 50.4 | 93% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:47 PM | 21.4 | 50.4 | 92% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:45:00 PM | 19.6 | 50.5 | 90% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:25:04 PM | 20.6 | 52.0 | 91% |