Predicted scoreToss-up
Oklahoma
20.0
Missouri
23.5
Missouri win probability: 59%
Margin (Missouri − Oklahoma): 3.4 (80% range -15 to 22)
Total: 43.5 (80% range 23 to 65)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.85% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:05 PM | -0.2 | 45.3 | 49% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:09 PM | -0.1 | 45.4 | 49% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:15 PM | -0.1 | 45.3 | 50% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:51:17 AM | -0.1 | 45.4 | 50% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:06:14 PM | -0.1 | 45.4 | 50% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:06:02 PM | -1.1 | 45.1 | 47% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:59:45 PM | -3.7 | 44.1 | 41% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:01:17 PM | 2.5 | 44.7 | 57% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:47 PM | 2.5 | 44.7 | 57% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:02:29 PM | 2.6 | 44.7 | 57% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:40:46 PM | 2.6 | 44.7 | 57% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:34:43 PM | 0.5 | 42.5 | 51% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:53 PM | 3.7 | 43.0 | 60% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:44:43 PM | 4.1 | 43.1 | 61% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:25:13 PM | 3.4 | 43.5 | 59% |