Predicted scoreToss-up
Oklahoma
22.7
Missouri
22.6
Missouri win probability: 50%
Margin (Missouri − Oklahoma): -0.1 (80% range -20 to 20)
Total: 45.3 (80% range 24 to 68)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.90% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.85% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.81% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:05 PM | -0.2 | 45.3 | 49% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:09 PM | -0.1 | 45.4 | 49% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:15 PM | -0.1 | 45.3 | 50% |