2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · LaVell Edwards Stadium
Cincinnati @ BYU
Predicted scoreLikely
Cincinnati
21.7
BYU
32.3
BYU win probability: 75%
Margin (BYU − Cincinnati): 10.7 (80% range -10 to 31)
Total: 54.0 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.79% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:59 PM | 10.7 | 54.0 | 75% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:10 PM | 10.6 | 54.0 | 75% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:33 PM | 10.7 | 54.0 | 75% |