2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · LaVell Edwards Stadium
Cincinnati @ BYU
Predicted scoreLikely
Cincinnati
21.4
BYU
34.2
BYU win probability: 79%
Margin (BYU − Cincinnati): 12.8 (80% range -7 to 33)
Total: 55.6 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.67% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:59 PM | 10.7 | 54.0 | 75% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:10 PM | 10.6 | 54.0 | 75% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:33 PM | 10.7 | 54.0 | 75% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:51:47 AM | 10.7 | 54.0 | 75% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:06:09 PM | 10.7 | 54.0 | 75% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:05:48 PM | 10.6 | 54.1 | 75% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:59:16 PM | 7.7 | 54.4 | 69% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:01:28 PM | 8.8 | 56.2 | 71% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:43:05 PM | 8.7 | 56.3 | 71% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:02:10 PM | 8.7 | 56.2 | 71% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:40:29 PM | 8.8 | 56.2 | 71% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:35:03 PM | 6.9 | 55.8 | 67% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:47 PM | 9.2 | 53.1 | 72% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:45:00 PM | 11.7 | 53.0 | 77% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:25:04 PM | 12.8 | 55.6 | 79% |