2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · Boone Pickens Stadium
Kansas @ Oklahoma State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Kansas
27.3
Oklahoma State
29.8
Oklahoma State win probability: 56%
Margin (Oklahoma State − Kansas): 2.5 (80% range -18 to 24)
Total: 57.2 (80% range 34 to 82)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.57% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.55% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.55% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.55% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:07 PM | -13.3 | 59.4 | 21% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:10 PM | -13.2 | 59.4 | 21% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:32 PM | -13.2 | 59.4 | 21% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:51:46 AM | -13.2 | 59.4 | 21% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:06:10 PM | -13.3 | 59.4 | 21% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:05:49 PM | -12.4 | 59.3 | 23% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:59:16 PM | -13.8 | 58.7 | 20% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:01:28 PM | -4.0 | 57.3 | 40% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:43:06 PM | -3.9 | 57.3 | 40% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:02:10 PM | -3.7 | 57.3 | 41% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:40:28 PM | -3.7 | 57.3 | 41% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:35:03 PM | 0.8 | 55.4 | 52% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:46 PM | -1.5 | 55.4 | 46% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:44:59 PM | -1.3 | 56.2 | 47% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:25:04 PM | 2.5 | 57.2 | 56% |