2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · Arizona Stadium
Arizona State @ Arizona
Predicted scoreLean
Arizona State
22.8
Arizona
27.0
Arizona win probability: 61%
Margin (Arizona − Arizona State): 4.2 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 49.9 (80% range 27 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.63% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:58 PM | 4.2 | 49.8 | 61% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:11 PM | 4.2 | 49.8 | 61% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:23 PM | 4.2 | 49.9 | 61% |