2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 2:00 AM · Rice-Eccles Stadium
West Virginia @ Utah
Predicted scoreConfident
West Virginia
19.7
Utah
40.0
Utah win probability: 90%
Margin (Utah − West Virginia): 20.4 (80% range 0 to 42)
Total: 59.7 (80% range 35 to 86)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 38 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 10 | 45 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.60% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:11 PM | 19.9 | 55.4 | 89% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:02 PM | 19.9 | 55.4 | 89% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:11 PM | 19.9 | 55.4 | 89% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:51:21 AM | 19.9 | 55.4 | 89% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:06:16 PM | 19.9 | 55.4 | 89% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:06:06 PM | 19.6 | 55.1 | 89% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:59:41 PM | 22.7 | 56.1 | 92% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:01:06 PM | 23.5 | 54.9 | 93% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:46 PM | 23.5 | 55.0 | 93% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:02:28 PM | 23.5 | 55.0 | 93% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:40:45 PM | 23.5 | 55.0 | 93% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:34:42 PM | 23.2 | 56.0 | 92% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:42 PM | 21.8 | 56.9 | 91% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:44:42 PM | 22.6 | 58.5 | 92% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:25:12 PM | 20.4 | 59.7 | 90% |