Predicted scoreToss-up
Buffalo
25.4
Akron
23.4
Akron win probability: 45%
Margin (Akron − Buffalo): -2.0 (80% range -21 to 18)
Total: 48.8 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:58 PM | -2.0 | 48.8 | 45% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:00 PM | -2.0 | 48.8 | 45% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:06 PM | -2.0 | 48.8 | 45% |