2026 Week 13 · Nov 24, 2026, 5:00 AM · Waldo Stadium
Miami (OH) @ Western Michigan
Predicted scoreToss-up
Miami (OH)
23.2
Western Michigan
24.8
Western Michigan win probability: 54%
Margin (Western Michigan − Miami (OH)): 1.5 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 48.0 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.79% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.72% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:12 PM | 1.5 | 48.0 | 54% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:58 PM | 1.5 | 48.0 | 54% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:00 PM | 1.5 | 48.0 | 54% |