2026 Week 13 · Nov 24, 2026, 5:00 AM · Rynearson Stadium
Kent State @ Eastern Michigan
Predicted scoreLean
Kent State
21.6
Eastern Michigan
26.5
Eastern Michigan win probability: 62%
Margin (Eastern Michigan − Kent State): 4.9 (80% range -14 to 25)
Total: 48.0 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:01 PM | 9.6 | 56.4 | 73% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:58 PM | 9.6 | 56.4 | 73% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:01 PM | 9.6 | 56.4 | 73% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:51:31 AM | 9.5 | 56.4 | 72% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:06:05 PM | 9.6 | 56.4 | 73% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:05:40 PM | 9.3 | 56.8 | 71% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:59:31 PM | 10.4 | 55.6 | 74% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:01:13 PM | 6.6 | 53.3 | 66% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:52 PM | 6.6 | 53.4 | 66% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:02:20 PM | 7.0 | 53.5 | 67% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:40:38 PM | 7.0 | 53.5 | 67% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:34:35 PM | 4.7 | 50.7 | 62% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:54 PM | 6.2 | 48.7 | 66% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:45:06 PM | 6.2 | 50.8 | 65% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:25:07 PM | 4.9 | 48.0 | 62% |