2026 Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026, 5:00 AM · Williams-Brice Stadium
Georgia @ South Carolina
Predicted scoreLean
Georgia
29.7
South Carolina
23.2
South Carolina win probability: 34%
Margin (South Carolina − Georgia): -6.5 (80% range -27 to 14)
Total: 52.9 (80% range 30 to 77)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:53 PM | -5.9 | 49.0 | 35% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:46 PM | -5.8 | 49.0 | 35% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:31 PM | -5.9 | 49.0 | 35% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:50:55 AM | -5.9 | 49.0 | 35% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:05:43 PM | -5.8 | 49.0 | 35% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:05:11 PM | -5.7 | 48.9 | 36% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:59:05 PM | -1.3 | 50.5 | 47% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:01:00 PM | -4.5 | 51.1 | 39% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:11 PM | -4.5 | 51.1 | 39% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:01:35 PM | -4.2 | 51.1 | 39% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:39:57 PM | -4.1 | 51.1 | 39% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:33:57 PM | -10.9 | 51.2 | 24% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:17 PM | -10.2 | 53.1 | 26% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:44:34 PM | -8.7 | 51.6 | 29% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:41 PM | -6.5 | 52.9 | 34% |