Predicted scoreToss-up
BYU
29.5
Kansas
26.8
Kansas win probability: 43%
Margin (Kansas − BYU): -2.8 (80% range -24 to 17)
Total: 56.3 (80% range 33 to 82)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:46 PM | -2.8 | 56.3 | 43% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:54 PM | -2.8 | 56.3 | 43% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:37 PM | -2.8 | 56.3 | 43% |