Predicted scoreToss-up
Texas A&M
21.3
Oklahoma
21.8
Oklahoma win probability: 51%
Margin (Oklahoma − Texas A&M): 0.5 (80% range -18 to 20)
Total: 43.1 (80% range 23 to 65)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.81% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:51 PM | 1.2 | 49.0 | 53% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:46 PM | 1.2 | 49.0 | 53% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:30 PM | 1.2 | 49.0 | 53% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:50:55 AM | 1.2 | 49.0 | 53% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:05:44 PM | 1.2 | 49.1 | 53% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:05:14 PM | 0.5 | 48.9 | 51% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:59:08 PM | -1.2 | 45.3 | 47% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:00:58 PM | -1.8 | 45.3 | 45% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:10 PM | -1.9 | 45.3 | 45% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:01:36 PM | -1.7 | 45.3 | 45% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:39:57 PM | -1.7 | 45.3 | 45% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:33:58 PM | 1.6 | 44.1 | 55% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:22 PM | 0.3 | 43.5 | 51% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:44:40 PM | 2.2 | 42.4 | 56% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:45 PM | 0.5 | 43.1 | 51% |