Predicted scoreLean
UL Monroe
23.3
App State
29.7
App State win probability: 65%
Margin (App State − UL Monroe): 6.4 (80% range -14 to 27)
Total: 53.0 (80% range 30 to 77)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:42 PM | 6.4 | 53.0 | 66% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:48 PM | 6.4 | 53.0 | 65% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:47 PM | 6.4 | 53.0 | 65% |