2026 Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026, 5:00 AM · McLane Stadium
Texas Tech @ Baylor
Predicted scoreLikely
Texas Tech
32.7
Baylor
21.0
Baylor win probability: 23%
Margin (Baylor − Texas Tech): -11.8 (80% range -32 to 9)
Total: 53.7 (80% range 31 to 78)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.63% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:42 PM | -11.7 | 53.7 | 23% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:47 PM | -11.8 | 53.7 | 23% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:22 PM | -11.8 | 53.7 | 23% |