2026 Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026, 5:00 AM · Mountain America Stadium
Oklahoma State @ Arizona State
Predicted scoreConfident
Oklahoma State
17.4
Arizona State
35.2
Arizona State win probability: 87%
Margin (Arizona State − Oklahoma State): 17.8 (80% range -3 to 38)
Total: 52.6 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:42 PM | 17.8 | 52.6 | 87% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:47 PM | 17.8 | 52.6 | 87% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:21 PM | 17.8 | 52.6 | 87% |