2026 Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026, 5:00 AM · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
Syracuse @ Boston College
Predicted scoreToss-up
Syracuse
25.0
Boston College
26.5
Boston College win probability: 54%
Margin (Boston College − Syracuse): 1.5 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 51.4 (80% range 28 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.61% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.59% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:43 PM | 2.5 | 54.4 | 56% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:48 PM | 2.5 | 54.4 | 56% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:38 PM | 2.5 | 54.4 | 56% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:50:50 AM | 2.5 | 54.4 | 56% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:05:38 PM | 2.5 | 54.4 | 56% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:04:54 PM | 0.9 | 54.3 | 52% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:58:55 PM | -0.7 | 54.6 | 48% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:00:51 PM | -2.6 | 52.2 | 44% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:13 PM | -2.6 | 52.2 | 44% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:01:33 PM | -2.3 | 52.3 | 44% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:39:54 PM | -2.3 | 52.3 | 44% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:34:30 PM | -0.9 | 49.6 | 48% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:16 PM | -0.9 | 50.9 | 48% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:44:12 PM | -0.9 | 51.4 | 48% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:38 PM | 1.5 | 51.4 | 54% |