2026 Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026, 5:00 AM · Nippert Stadium
Colorado @ Cincinnati
Predicted scoreLean
Colorado
25.1
Cincinnati
29.7
Cincinnati win probability: 61%
Margin (Cincinnati − Colorado): 4.6 (80% range -16 to 25)
Total: 54.8 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:44 PM | 4.7 | 54.8 | 62% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:54 PM | 4.6 | 54.8 | 61% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:35 PM | 4.6 | 54.8 | 61% |