2026 Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026, 5:00 AM · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Vanderbilt @ Florida
Predicted scoreToss-up
Vanderbilt
30.9
Florida
26.9
Florida win probability: 40%
Margin (Florida − Vanderbilt): -4.0 (80% range -24 to 17)
Total: 57.8 (80% range 34 to 83)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 38 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.64% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:44 PM | -4.0 | 57.7 | 40% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:53 PM | -3.9 | 57.8 | 40% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:36 PM | -4.0 | 57.8 | 40% |