2026 Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026, 5:00 AM · Hard Rock Stadium
Virginia Tech @ Miami
Predicted scoreConfident
Virginia Tech
17.5
Miami
38.4
Miami win probability: 90%
Margin (Miami − Virginia Tech): 20.9 (80% range 0 to 42)
Total: 55.8 (80% range 33 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 38 | 0.71% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 10 | 35 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:48 PM | 22.0 | 55.5 | 92% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:45 PM | 22.0 | 55.5 | 92% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:29 PM | 22.0 | 55.5 | 92% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:50:53 AM | 22.0 | 55.5 | 92% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:05:42 PM | 22.0 | 55.4 | 92% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:04:51 PM | 22.4 | 55.1 | 92% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:58:52 PM | 23.5 | 55.6 | 93% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:00:49 PM | 20.9 | 56.3 | 90% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:27 PM | 20.9 | 56.4 | 90% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:01:43 PM | 20.9 | 56.4 | 90% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:40:06 PM | 20.9 | 56.4 | 90% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:34:13 PM | 20.0 | 55.6 | 89% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:27 PM | 22.1 | 56.6 | 91% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:44:25 PM | 23.2 | 58.2 | 93% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:29 PM | 20.9 | 55.8 | 90% |