2026 Week 12 · Nov 17, 2026, 5:00 AM · Waldo Stadium
Eastern Michigan @ Western Michigan
Predicted scoreLikely
Eastern Michigan
19.7
Western Michigan
31.1
Western Michigan win probability: 77%
Margin (Western Michigan − Eastern Michigan): 11.5 (80% range -8 to 31)
Total: 50.8 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:57 PM | 5.0 | 52.9 | 62% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:43 PM | 5.0 | 53.0 | 62% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:13 PM | 5.0 | 53.0 | 62% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:50:29 AM | 5.0 | 53.0 | 62% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:05:30 PM | 5.2 | 53.0 | 63% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:04:43 PM | 6.3 | 52.3 | 66% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:58:43 PM | 8.4 | 48.3 | 71% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:00:42 PM | 11.0 | 47.0 | 76% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:20 PM | 11.1 | 47.0 | 76% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:01:51 PM | 11.2 | 47.1 | 77% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:40:17 PM | 11.2 | 47.1 | 77% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:34:00 PM | 12.8 | 50.0 | 80% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:10 PM | 9.7 | 51.4 | 73% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:44:07 PM | 11.1 | 51.3 | 76% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:49 PM | 11.5 | 50.8 | 77% |