2026 Week 12 · Nov 17, 2026, 5:00 AM · Dix Stadium
Miami (OH) @ Kent State
Predicted scoreLikely
Miami (OH)
31.3
Kent State
19.9
Kent State win probability: 23%
Margin (Kent State − Miami (OH)): -11.4 (80% range -32 to 8)
Total: 51.3 (80% range 28 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.81% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:47 PM | -11.4 | 51.2 | 23% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:42 PM | -11.4 | 51.2 | 23% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:14 PM | -11.4 | 51.3 | 23% |