2026 Week 11 · Nov 15, 2026, 3:30 AM · Gesa Field
Colorado State @ Washington State
Predicted scoreLean
Colorado State
23.2
Washington State
29.7
Washington State win probability: 66%
Margin (Washington State − Colorado State): 6.6 (80% range -14 to 27)
Total: 52.9 (80% range 30 to 77)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:40 PM | 12.4 | 53.0 | 78% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:42 PM | 12.4 | 53.0 | 78% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:12 PM | 12.4 | 53.0 | 78% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:50:05 AM | 12.4 | 53.0 | 78% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:05:06 PM | 12.5 | 53.0 | 79% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:03:54 PM | 13.3 | 52.7 | 80% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:58:23 PM | 8.0 | 51.4 | 69% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:00:23 PM | 5.9 | 52.5 | 65% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:41:56 PM | 5.9 | 52.5 | 64% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:00:54 PM | 6.8 | 52.6 | 67% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:39:15 PM | 6.8 | 52.6 | 67% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:33:54 PM | 5.1 | 51.6 | 63% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:44 PM | 5.9 | 52.9 | 64% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:43:53 PM | 4.9 | 52.7 | 62% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:26 PM | 6.6 | 52.9 | 66% |