2026 Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026, 5:00 AM · Milan Puskar Stadium
Kansas @ West Virginia
Predicted scoreToss-up
Kansas
31.1
West Virginia
27.9
West Virginia win probability: 42%
Margin (West Virginia − Kansas): -3.2 (80% range -24 to 18)
Total: 58.9 (80% range 34 to 85)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.57% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.57% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:41 PM | -4.4 | 58.9 | 39% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:32 PM | -4.5 | 58.9 | 39% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:40 PM | -4.4 | 58.9 | 39% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:50:14 AM | -4.4 | 58.9 | 39% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:05:23 PM | -4.5 | 58.9 | 39% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:03:44 PM | -3.9 | 58.4 | 41% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:57:49 PM | -5.4 | 59.8 | 38% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:00:21 PM | -2.9 | 59.2 | 43% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:41:50 PM | -2.9 | 59.3 | 43% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:01:13 PM | -2.7 | 59.1 | 43% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:39:34 PM | -2.7 | 59.1 | 43% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:33:39 PM | -1.8 | 58.0 | 46% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:00 PM | -4.6 | 58.3 | 39% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:43:39 PM | -5.7 | 58.9 | 37% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:14 PM | -3.2 | 58.9 | 42% |