2026 Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026, 5:00 AM · Milan Puskar Stadium
Kansas @ West Virginia
Predicted scoreLean
Kansas
31.7
West Virginia
27.2
West Virginia win probability: 39%
Margin (West Virginia − Kansas): -4.4 (80% range -25 to 17)
Total: 58.9 (80% range 34 to 84)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.62% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.57% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:41 PM | -4.4 | 58.9 | 39% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:32 PM | -4.5 | 58.9 | 39% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:40 PM | -4.4 | 58.9 | 39% |