2026 Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026, 5:00 AM · Boone Pickens Stadium
Texas Tech @ Oklahoma State
Predicted scoreConfident
Texas Tech
36.8
Oklahoma State
14.1
Oklahoma State win probability: 7%
Margin (Oklahoma State − Texas Tech): -22.7 (80% range -44 to -3)
Total: 51.0 (80% range 29 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | 10 | 0.78% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 7 | 0.75% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.75% |
| 31 | 7 | 0.74% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:33 PM | -22.7 | 51.0 | 7% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:32 PM | -22.7 | 51.0 | 7% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:39 PM | -22.7 | 51.0 | 7% |