Predicted scoreToss-up
Ole Miss
26.4
Oklahoma
25.0
Oklahoma win probability: 46%
Margin (Oklahoma − Ole Miss): -1.5 (80% range -21 to 18)
Total: 51.4 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.60% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:33 PM | -1.2 | 51.6 | 47% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:37 PM | -1.2 | 51.6 | 47% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:53 PM | -1.1 | 51.6 | 47% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:49:45 AM | -1.1 | 51.6 | 47% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:05:20 PM | -1.1 | 51.6 | 47% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:03:43 PM | -1.1 | 51.7 | 47% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:58:14 PM | 4.8 | 52.2 | 62% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:59:55 PM | 2.9 | 54.2 | 57% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:41:40 PM | 2.9 | 54.3 | 57% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:00:59 PM | 3.0 | 54.3 | 57% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:39:28 PM | 2.9 | 54.3 | 57% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:33:34 PM | 3.4 | 51.9 | 59% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:03 PM | 4.8 | 52.6 | 62% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:43:46 PM | 3.2 | 51.2 | 58% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:16 PM | -1.5 | 51.4 | 46% |