Predicted scoreLikely
Baylor
22.0
BYU
30.5
BYU win probability: 70%
Margin (BYU − Baylor): 8.5 (80% range -11 to 28)
Total: 52.5 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:27 PM | 10.9 | 55.4 | 75% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:35 PM | 10.9 | 55.4 | 75% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:56 PM | 10.9 | 55.4 | 75% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:50:25 AM | 10.9 | 55.4 | 75% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:05:22 PM | 11.0 | 55.4 | 75% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:04:21 PM | 12.2 | 55.1 | 77% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:57:59 PM | 8.2 | 54.2 | 69% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:00:08 PM | 8.1 | 55.8 | 69% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:04 PM | 8.1 | 55.9 | 69% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:01:22 PM | 8.2 | 55.9 | 69% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:39:24 PM | 8.2 | 55.9 | 69% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:33:26 PM | 8.1 | 52.7 | 69% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:51 PM | 4.9 | 53.5 | 62% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:43:30 PM | 6.7 | 53.1 | 66% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:08 PM | 8.5 | 52.5 | 70% |