Predicted scoreLikely
Baylor
22.2
BYU
33.2
BYU win probability: 75%
Margin (BYU − Baylor): 10.9 (80% range -10 to 31)
Total: 55.4 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:27 PM | 10.9 | 55.4 | 75% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:35 PM | 10.9 | 55.4 | 75% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:56 PM | 10.9 | 55.4 | 75% |