Predicted scoreToss-up
Utah
28.2
Arizona
24.9
Arizona win probability: 42%
Margin (Arizona − Utah): -3.4 (80% range -24 to 17)
Total: 53.1 (80% range 31 to 77)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.60% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:25 PM | -3.3 | 53.1 | 42% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:36 PM | -3.3 | 53.1 | 42% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:57 PM | -3.4 | 53.1 | 42% |