Predicted scoreLikely
Nebraska
36.3
Rutgers
21.4
Rutgers win probability: 18%
Margin (Rutgers − Nebraska): -14.9 (80% range -35 to 6)
Total: 57.6 (80% range 34 to 83)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | 17 | 0.84% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.58% |
| 35 | 17 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:35 PM | -3.0 | 59.2 | 43% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:33 PM | -3.1 | 59.2 | 43% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:49 PM | -3.1 | 59.1 | 43% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:49:40 AM | -3.1 | 59.1 | 42% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:05:11 PM | -3.1 | 59.1 | 42% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:04:13 PM | -3.3 | 59.2 | 42% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:58:03 PM | -15.6 | 60.0 | 17% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:00:18 PM | -17.1 | 59.4 | 15% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:00 PM | -17.1 | 59.4 | 15% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:01:21 PM | -16.7 | 59.3 | 15% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:39:39 PM | -16.7 | 59.3 | 15% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:33:37 PM | -14.3 | 59.4 | 19% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:56 PM | -15.0 | 58.3 | 18% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:43:34 PM | -15.6 | 58.1 | 17% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:13 PM | -14.9 | 57.6 | 18% |